Demographic And Educational Projections. Building An Event-Oriented Microsimulation Model With CoMICS II
نویسندگان
چکیده
German demographic or educational projections are conventionally based on macrosimulation or period microsimulation models. In this paper we introduce a discrete-event microsimulation model, which we have designed to project the graduate rates of the German population. In this model we use survival functions to calculate different fertility rates by mothers’ education. This paper describes how to implement the empirical results into the discrete event microsimulation model CoMICS II and discusses further steps to create a microsimulation model which could demonstrate the development of the German graduate rate considering different strengths of social selectivity mechanisms in the German education system.
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